Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.008809 0.010438 0.012413 0.015027 0.018461 0.022918 0.029313
2025-05-18 0.006552 0.008377 0.010850 0.014581 0.020329 0.029366 0.045916
2025-05-25 0.005256 0.007028 0.009596 0.013808 0.021046 0.034169 0.063626
2025-06-01 0.004457 0.006158 0.008748 0.013283 0.021795 0.039262 0.086904
2025-06-08 0.004041 0.005758 0.008502 0.013625 0.024166 0.048966 0.134974
2025-06-15 0.003632 0.005295 0.008051 0.013456 0.025429 0.057089 0.195365
2025-06-22 0.003218 0.004763 0.007385 0.012708 0.025128 0.060952 0.250174
2025-06-29 0.002991 0.004510 0.007168 0.012799 0.026863 0.072545 0.395932
2025-07-06 0.002845 0.004375 0.007139 0.013272 0.029808 0.091726 0.756449
2025-07-13 0.002766 0.004346 0.007300 0.014210 0.034588 0.125995 2.076574
2025-07-20 0.002645 0.004224 0.007259 0.014664 0.038187 0.162388 6.640473
2025-07-27 0.002483 0.004010 0.006999 0.014509 0.039667 0.190182 22.732377
2025-08-03 0.002323 0.003800 0.006756 0.014441 0.041922 0.235600 640.344790
2025-08-10 0.002152 0.003554 0.006408 0.014030 0.042733 0.275548 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001978 0.003287 0.005980 0.013297 0.041811 0.296892 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001840 0.003078 0.005656 0.012798 0.041738 0.333050 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001769 0.002999 0.005612 0.013123 0.045933 0.469064 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001676 0.002864 0.005425 0.012962 0.047605 0.585518 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001560 0.002674 0.005087 0.012251 0.045815 0.607047 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001499 0.002592 0.004998 0.012338 0.048847 0.833313 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001462 0.002556 0.005015 0.012788 0.054711 1.389866 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001446 0.002566 0.005145 0.013679 0.064999 3.262712 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001410 0.002526 0.005147 0.014110 0.072692 7.376802 NaN